Trends and prospects of coal production and usage in Ukraine and globally 14 th of June 2017, Kiev, Ukraine POLISH HARD COAL MINING SECTOR - CURRENT STATE AND PERSPECTIVES Zbigniew Lubosik Central Mining Institute, Katowice, Poland
Plan of Presentation - Polish coal basins - Coal resources - Hard coal production UE / Poland - Hard coal producers in Poland - Hard coal consumption in Poland - Hard coal consumption in Poland till 2030 - Future of hard coal sector in Poland 2
Polish coal basins and coal production in Poland in 2016 Poland: Total coal production Hard coal Lignite (brown coal) 130.6 Mt 70.5 Mt 60.2 Mt 3
Coal resources in Poland, Mt 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Hard Coal Lignite 44505 11292 3264 310 423 GZW LZW DZW anticipated economic resources economic resources 25000 23516 20000 15000 10000 5000 1129 0 91 deposits anticipated economic resources economic resources Source: Polish Geological Institiute, The balance of mineral resources deposits in Poland as of 31.12.2015 4
Energy mix in Poland year 2007 and 2015 2007 2015 methane rich gas; 2,4% brown coal; 16,4% nitrogen rich gas; 2,9% crude oil; 1,0% water power, geothermal solar and wind; 0,4% wood; 4,5% waste fuels and other resources; 2,7% hard coal; 69,6% nitrogen rich gas; 3,2% methane rich gas; 2,1% crude oil; 1,4% water power, geothermal solar and wind; 1,7% wood; 7,1% waste fuels and other resources; 5,5% hard coal; 61,0% brown coal; 18,1% Source: Energy Regulatory Office (Urząd Regulacji Energetyki) 5
Electricity mix in Poland year 2007 and 2015 gas power station; 2,4% industrial power stations; 5,2% hydroelectric power station; 1,7% 2007 wind sources and other renewable energy power station; 0,3% hard coalfired power station; 58,4% industrial power stations; 6,0% gas power station; 2,6% 2015 Wind sources and hydroelectric other power renewable station; 1,4% energy power station; 6,2% Hard coalfired power station; 50,6% lignite fired power station; 32,1% lignite fired power station; 33,1% Source: Polskie Sieci Elektroenergetyczne 6
Hard coal consumption in Poland, Mt 86000 84000 82000 80000 78000 76000 74000 72000 70000 68000 66000 84230 81979 80323 79108 77300 75165 73842 72768 72283 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Hard coal consumption Source: Central Statistical Office of Poland (Główny Urząd Statystyczny), Agencja Rynku Energii 7
Mt Coal extraction in Poland from 2007 to 2016, Mt 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 87,4 83,6 76,99 76,2 75,7 79,2 76,5 72,5 72,2 70,5 13,6 12 8,9 11,7 11,7 11,5 12,1 12,3 13 13,3 73,8 71,6 68,09 64,5 64,2 67,5 64,4 60,2 59,2 57,2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 steam coal coking coal Source: mining companies, Industrial Development Agency JSC 8
Hard coal production in UE from 2007 to 2016, Mt 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Poland 87 83 78 77 76 79 76 73 72 70,4 United Kingdom 17 18 18 18 18 17 13 12 9 4,2 Germany 22 19 15 14 13 11 8 8 7 4,1 Czech Republic 13 13 11 12 11 11 9 9 8 6,8 Spain 11 10 9 9 7 6 4 4 3 1,7 Romania* 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 0 1 0 UE 153 146 135 134 129 128 114 106 100 87,2 Germany; 4,1 United Kingdom; 4,2 Czech Republic; 6,8 Spain; 1,7 Romania; 0 2016 Poland; 70,4 Source: EURACOAL 9
Polish hard coal mining industry in 2016 Production 70.5 Mt 57.2 Mt Steam coal 13.3 Mt Coking coal Number of underground mines 22 Employees about 85 000 workers Extraction system 96 single entry retreat longwalls were employed Average extraction depth was between 750 m and 850 m; the deepest shaft around 1320 m 10
Polish hard coal producers Halemba-Wirek Mine Pokój Mine Bielszowice Mine Ziemowit Mine Piast Mine Chwałowice Mine Jankowice Mine Marcel Mine Rydułtowy-Anna Mine Sośnica Mine Bolesław Śmiały Mine Bobrek-Centrum Mine Piekary Mine Makoszowy Mine Brzeszcze Mine Mysłowice-Wesoła Mine Wieczorek Mine Wujek Mine Murcki-Staszic Mine Borynia-Zofiówka-Jastrzębie Mine Pniówek Mine Budryk Mine Knurów-Szczygłowice Mine Krupiński Mine Janina Mine Sobieski Mine 2015 2016 2017 11
Polish hard coal producers Halemba-Wirek Mine Pokój Mine Bielszowice Mine Ziemowit Mine Piast Mine Chwałowice Mine Jankowice Mine Marcel Mine Rydułtowy-Anna Mine Sośnica Mine Bolesław Śmiały Mine Mysłowice-Wesoła Mine Wieczorek Mine Wujek Mine Murcki-Staszic Mine Makoszowy Mine Brzeszcze Mine Borynia-Zofiówka-Jastrzębie Mine Pniówek Mine Budryk Mine Knurów-Szczygłowice Mine Krupiński Mine Janina Mine Sobieski Mine 2015 2016 2017 Bobrek-Centrum Bobrek-Piekary Mine Mine Piekary Mine 12
Polish hard coal producers Halemba-Wirek Mine Pokój Mine Bielszowice Mine Ziemowit Mine Piast Mine Chwałowice Mine Jankowice Mine Marcel Mine Rydułtowy-Anna Mine Sośnica Mine Bolesław Śmiały Mine Mysłowice-Wesoła Mine Wieczorek Mine Wujek Mine Murcki-Staszic Mine Makoszowy Mine Borynia-Zofiówka-Jastrzębie Mine Pniówek Mine Budryk Mine Knurów-Szczygłowice Mine Krupiński Mine Janina Mine Sobieski Mine Brzeszcze Mine 2015 2016 2017 Bobrek-Piekary Mine 13
Polish hard coal producers Ruda Halemba-Wirek Mine Mine Pokój Mine Bielszowice Mine Piast-Ziemowit Mine Mine Piast Mine ROW Chwałowice Mine Mine Jankowice Mine Marcel Mine Rydułtowy-Anna Mine Sośnica Mine Bolesław Śmiały Mine Mysłowice-Wesoła Mine Wieczorek Mine Wujek Mine Murcki-Staszic Mine Makoszowy Mine Borynia-Zofiówka-Jastrzębie Mine Pniówek Mine Budryk Mine Knurów-Szczygłowice Mine Krupiński Mine Janina Mine Sobieski Mine Brzeszcze Mine 2015 2016 2017 Bobrek-Piekary Mine 14
Polish hard coal producers Ruda Mine Piast-Ziemowit Mine ROW Mine Sośnica Piast-Ziemowit Mine Mine Bolesław Śmiały Mine ROW Mine Mysłowice-Wesoła Mine Wieczorek Mine Wujek Mine Murcki-Staszic Mine Borynia-Zofiówka-Jastrzębie Mine Pniówek Mine Budryk Mine Knurów-Szczygłowice Mine Krupiński Mine Sośnica Mine Bolesław Śmiały Mine Makoszowy Mine Janina Mine Sobieski Mine Brzeszcze Mine 2015 2016 2017 Bobrek-Piekary Mine 15
Polish hard coal producers current state + Number of mines (2017) Annual Extraction 2016 [Mt] Employment 2016 [thous. EE] 9 4 1 3 1 1 24 + 9.5 = 33.5 CAPEX [m PLN] 1700p (2017) 16.8 (11.6 cooking coal) 9.0 6.4 2.0 1.5 31 +12 = 43 27.4 4.5 6.5 2.9 1.7 1000p (2017) 440 (2016) 280 (2016) no data no data 16
Changes in Polish hard coal mining sector from 1989 900 861 800 700 600 510 560 600 645 700 705 711 721 740 750 770 500 400 407 415 300 272 200 100 0 177,4 135,4 70 63 183 155 102,2 97,1 130 117 118 118 123 112 116 111112 113114 117 96 103 92,1 85 76,1 75,7 79,2 76,5 72,5 72,2 70,5 42 33 31 30 30 30 30 29 22 1989 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Years Production [Mt] Number of active longwalls The average depth of exploitation [m] Employment [thousands of people] Number of coal mines 17
Mining conditions in Polish hard coal mines Average exploitation depth is approx. 770 m Deepest mine (Budryk coal mine) Zasoby operates at the level of 1290 m. przemysłowe 6,02 mld ton Temperature of side wall (wall): exceed 50 C. Source: ARP Katowice 18
Mining conditions in Polish hard coal mines Coal seams are mined in conditions of natural hazards Gas hazard Fire hazard Dust hazard Seismic and rock burst hazard Water hazard Climatic hazard Radiation hazard Such mining conditions negatively affect the costs of mining activity of Polish companies 19
Mining conditions in Polish hard coal mines Factors affecting hard coal production in Poland Continual increase of exploitation depth, Heavy intensification of mining acivity and its concentration on a small area, Multi-seam character of the beds, Occurrence of thick and durable roof rock complexes, Occurrence of residual pillars, abandoned coal seams and exploitation edges in the adjacent seams, Coal seams prone to bumping, and others mining hazards. 20
Demand forecast on the Polish market for hard coal to 2030 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 82,4 83,4 84,2 85,2 86,1 80,5 71,3 71,4 72,1 72,8 73,3 75,1 76,2 76,9 77,7 78,6 71,3 70,5 70,3 70,1 69,5 70,3 70,3 70,3 70,3 70,3 70,2 70,5 70,5 70,6 70,9 71 71,3 70 68,9 68,2 66,9 65,3 63,8 62,5 61,5 60,3 59,6 58,9 58,3 57,7 56,9 56,5 low demand scenario [Mt] high demand scenario [Mt] reference scenario [Mt] Source: Ministry of Energy 21
Summary Polish hard coal mining sector Current state and perspectives 1. Under the current level of extraction the economic resources available in Poland are sufficient for another several decades. 2. Coal seams on Poland are characterised by favoruable parameters - mostly: found at depths up to 1000 m, has thickness between 1.5m and 3.5m, are deposited in seams small slopes, are characterized by high heating value. 3. An important issue is the efficiency of mining production. 22
Summary 4. Ensuring the Poland energy security is a great chance for development of the hard coal mining sector. 5. In particular, the most important actions which should be implemented in the sector are: using modern technologies to increase price competitiveness, labor safety, environmental protection, maintaining coal production costs at a competitive level relative to coal prices, maintaining satisfactory liquidity and creditworthiness of the coal system, rational management of labor resources providing stable and technically safe and economical workplaces in mines. 6. Major threat EU Policy (emission levels, Best AvailableTechniques, others. 23
Thank You for your Attention!!! Zbigniew Lubosik: POLISH HARD COAL MINING SECTOR - CURRENT STATE AND PERSPECTIVES Contact: z.lubosik@gig.eu 24