Coal in Poland s energy mix a need for investment and action plan for the future Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce 1
Agenda: 1. Potential of coal industry in Poland in which resources of energy minerals 2. Hard coal and lignite production in Poland in 2014 3. Polish energy policy strategic regulations 4. Consumption of solid and liquid fuels in Poland in 2006 2013 5. Production of hard coal and lignite in Poland in 2006 2014 6. Draft of energy policy of Poland till 2050 7. Clean Coal Technologies 8. Volume and structure of national demand for primary energy in Poland in 2010-2050 9. Change of national demand for hard coal and lignite depending of CO2 emission prices 10.Conclusions and recommendations Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 2
Potential of coal sector in Poland Coal Mining Sector Coal resources Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 3
Members of the Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce Section of machines & equipment producers Section of service companies Agencja Rozwoju Przemysłu S.A. Oddział w Katowicach w Katowicach AIP Australian Investments in Poland Sp. z o.o. w Gliwicach ARTECH RYBNIK Sp. z o.o. w Rybniku Compensus Sp. z o.o. w Bytomiu Dąbrowska Fabryka Maszyn Elektrycznych DAMEL S.A. w Dąbrowie Górniczej DEMETRIX Sp.z o.o. Sp.k. w Piekarach Śląskich ELEKTROMETAL S.A. w Cieszynie Elgór+Hansen S.A. w Chorzowie Berendsen Textile Service Sp. z o.o. Oddział w Siemianowicach Śląskich w Siemianowicach Śląskich Centralna Stacja Ratownictwa Górniczego S.A. w Bytomiu Centrum Badań i Dozoru Górnictwa Podziemnego Sp. z o.o. w Lędzinach COIG S.A. w Katowicach CTL Maczki-Bór S.A. w Sosnowcu Deloitte Doradztwo Podatkowe Sp. z o.o. Oddział w Katowicach w Katowicach Elmech Kazeten Sp. z o.o. w Czeladzi ELTRANS Sp. z o.o. w Chorzowie Fabryka Taśm Transporterowych Wolbrom S.A. w Wolbromiu Energoaparatura S.A. w Katowicach Fabryki Sprzętu i Narzędzi Górniczych Grupa Kapitałowa FASING S.A. w Katowicach Eurocor sp. z o.o. S.K.A. w Katowicach Freightliner PL Sp. z o.o. w Warszawie FAMUR S.A. w Katowicach Gliwicki Zakład Usług Górniczych Sp. z o.o. w Gliwicach Grupa Kapitałowa WONAM S.A. w Pszczynie Grupa Gumułka Sp. z o.o. w Katowicach Grupa Powen-Wafapomp S.A. w Zabrzu Joy Global (Poland) Sp. z o.o. w Tychach KOPEX Machinery S.A. w Zabrzu KOPEX S.A. w Katowicach NILOS Polska Sp. z o.o. w Sosnowcu Przedsiębiorstwo HYDROMEL S.A. w Siemianowicach Śląskich Przedsiębiorstwo Kompletacji i Montażu Systemów Automatyki CARBOAUTOMATYKA w Tychach Przedsiębiorstwo Produkcyjno Handlowo Usługowe MARTECH-PLUS S.J. w Rudzie Śląskiej PUMAR Sp. z o.o. w Siemianowicach Śląskich Sadex Sp. z o.o. w Rybniku Sandvik Mining and Construction Sp. z o.o. w Tychach Siemag Tecberg Polska Sp. z o.o. w Katowicach SPYRA PRIMO Poland Sp. z o.o. w Mikołowie Weir Minerals Poland Sp. z o.o. w Krakowie Zakład Hydrauliki Siłowej HYDROMECH S.A. w Lublewie Gdańskim Section of coal producers Jastrzębska Spółka Węglowa S.A. w Jastrzębiu Zdroju Katowicki Holding Węglowy S.A. w Katowicach Kompania Węglowa S.A. w Katowicach Kopalnia Węgla Kamiennego KAZIMIERZ - JULIUSZ Sp. z o.o. w Sosnowcu Lubelski Węgiel BOGDANKA S.A. w Puchaczowie PGE Górnictwo i Energetyka Konwencjonalna S.A. Oddział Kopalnia Węgla Brunatnego BEŁCHATÓW w Bełchatowie Przedsiębiorstwo Górnicze SILESIA Sp. z o.o. w Czechowicach- Dziedzicach Spółka Restrukturyzacji Kopalń S.A. w Bytomiu TAURON Wydobycie S.A. w Jaworznie Section of scientific and research institutions Fundacja Nauka i Tradycje Górnicze, Wydz. Górnictwa i Geoinżynierii AGH w Krakowie Główny Instytut Górnictwa w Katowicach Instytut Chemicznej Przeróbki Węgla w Zabrzu Instytut Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi i Energią - PAN w Krakowie Instytut Mechanizacji Budownictwa i Górnictwa Skalnego w Warszawie Instytut Technik Innowacyjnych EMAG w Katowicach Instytut Techniki Górniczej KOMAG w Gliwicach HAJDUK GROUP Sp. z o.o. w Lublinie HALDEX Spółka Akcyjna w Katowicach Impel Cleaning Sp. z o.o. we Wrocławiu Jednostka Opiniująca, Atestująca i Certyfikująca Wyroby TEST Sp. z o.o. w Siemianowicach Śląskich Kancelaria Adwokatów i Radców Prawnych G. Morawska-Stanecka, M. Stańko Spółka Partnerska w Katowicach KG Construction Sp. z o.o. w Zabrzu Kompanijne Zakłady Remontowe REMASZ Sp. z o.o. w Gliwicach Kompanijny Ośrodek Szkolenia Sp. z o.o. w Knurowie Konsorcjum Przedsiębiorstw Robót Górniczych i Budowy Szybów S.A. w Mysłowicach Ośrodek Badań Atestacji i Certyfikacji OBAC Sp. z o.o. w Gliwicach Partner Serwis Sp. z o.o. w Legnicy Przedsiębiorstwo OPA - LABOR Sp. z o.o. w Siemianowicach Śląskich Przedsiębiorstwo Produkcyjno - Usługowo - Handlowe ELCAM Sp. z o.o. w Tychach Przedsiębiorstwo Produkcyjno-Usługowo-Handlowe ANIMA Krzysztof Śleziak w Rybniku Zakład Maszyn Górniczych GLINIK Sp. z o.o. w Gorlicach WĘGLOKOKS S.A. w Katowicach Wydział Górnictwa i Geologii Politechniki Śląskiej w Gliwicach Zakład Odmetanowania Kopalń ZOK Sp. z o.o. w Jastrzębiu Zdroju Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 4
Location of Coalfields in Poland Baltic Sea Russian Federation Lithuania Bielorussia Germany Lublin Coalfield Lower Silesian Coalfield (closed) Brown Coal Hard Coal Czech Republic Upper Silesian Coalfield Ukraine Source: www.wiking.edu.pl Slovakia Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 5
Geological balance reserves of energy minerals in Poland (in mln tons, natural gas and methane in bln m 3 ) as of 31 XII 2014 Balance reserves Number of deposits Mineral Situation as of : 31 XII 2014 in which developed reserves Total in which developed reserves Hard coal 51 960,43 19 805,65 155 51 Brown coal 23 510,59 1 482,69 90 9 Oil 23,53 23,03 85 67 Natural gas 127,52 106,13 291 206 Coal bed methane 86,8 33,04 58 28 Oil and gas - recoverable reserves) Source: Balance of minerals reserves 2014 State Geological Institute, Warszawa Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 6
Balance reserves of hard coal in Poland - 51 960,43 mln ton - 2% 3 978,25 mln ton 7,7 % 19 805,65 mln ton 38,1 % 37% Developed 28 176,54 mln ton 54,2 % 61% Non-developed Source: Balance of minerals reserves 2014 State Geological Institute, Warszawa Abandoned exploitation Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 7
Balance reserves of brown coal in Poland - 23 510,59 mln ton - 16,3 mln ton 0,07 % 1 482,69 mln ton 6,31 % Developed 22 011,61 mln ton 93,62 % Source: Balance of minerals reserves 2014 State Geological Institute, Warszawa Non-developed Abandoned exploitation Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 8
Hard coal production and active mines in 2014 Kompania Węglowa S.A. 14 mines Jastrzębie Coal Company S.A. 5 mines Katowice Capital Group S.A. 5 mines Total production: in which: steam coal: coking coal: 70,5 mln ton 58,2 mln ton 12,3 mln ton Lublin Coal Bogdanka S.A. 1 mine Tauron Extraction S.A. 2 mines Employment: 100 675 persons in which : underground: 70 019 persons PG Silesia Ltd Co. 1 mine ZG Siltech Ltd Co. 1 mine Mines Restructuring Company /SRK/ S.A. ZG EKO-PLUS Ltd Co. 1 mine Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 9
Brown coal production and active mines in 2014 Grupa Kapitałowa ZE PAK S.A. 2 mines Total production: Employment: 64,0 mln ton 11 561 persons PGE Górnictwo i Energetyka Konwencjonalna S.A. - 2 mines Kopalnia Węgla Brunatnego Sieniawa Sp. z o.o. - 1 mine Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 10
Employment in Polish coal sector in 2014 Employment in Polish hard coal mining : Employment in Polish lignite mining: 100 675 persons 11 561 persons In the surrounding of mining 300 400 Thousand persons are employed. Polish coal mining industry generates about 550 Thos. of workplaces. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 11
Polish energy strategy strategic regulations o Act of 1997. Energy law (preparation of the draft of energy policy of the state and coordination of its implementation by Ministry of Economy), o Energy policy of Poland till 2030 (accepted by Council of Ministers in 2009), o Strategy of activity of hard coal mining in Poland in 2007 2015 (accepted by Council of Ministers in 2007), o Draft of energy policy of Poland till 2050, o Assumptions for a new program for hard coal mining. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 12
Consumption of solid and liquid fuels in Poland in 2006-2013 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Hard coal (Thos.t) 83 483 84 230 80 323 73 842 81 979 79 108 75 165 77 300 Brown coal (Thos.t) 60 844 57 538 59 668 57 108 56 510 62 841 64 280 65 849 Natural gas (TJ) 493 544 499 571 505 922 488 179 519 923 515 162 552 579 560 164 Liquid gas (Thos.t) 774 807 798 730 737 862 834 815 Light fuel oil (Thos.t) 1 023 1 332 1 227 1 092 1 125 1 088 895 783 Heavy fuel oil (Thos.t) 1 750 1 711 1 609 1 615 1 587 1 403 1 171 876 Source: Consumption of fuels and energy carriers in 2006 2013, Main Statistical Office Source: Facts: Coal Power Generation in Poland Zbigniew Grudziński The Mineral and Energy Economy Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences Kraków Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 13
Consumption of hard and brown coals in Poland in 2006-2013 90 000 80 000 70 000 60 000 Thos. t 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000-2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Consuption of hard coal (Thos. t) 83 483 84 230 80 323 73 842 81 979 79 108 75 165 77 300 Consuption of brown coal (Thos. t) 60 100 57 300 57 800 56 000 55 700 60 200 63 300 65 000 Years Source: Consumption of fuels and energy carriers in 2006 2013, Main Statistical Office Source: Facts: Coal Power Generation in Poland Zbigniew Grudziński The Mineral and Energy Economy Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences Kraków Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 14
Consumption structure of hard coal in Poland in 2013-77 300 Thos. ton - transport 0,0% other usage 17,3% power and heating plants 52,7% industry and construction 23,1% professional heating plants 4,6% non-professional heating plants 0,3% heating boilers of prof. power generators 2,0% Source: Consumption of fuels and energy carriers in 2006.2013, Main Statistical Office Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 15
Hard coal production in Poland in 2006-2014 - mln ton - 100 90 80 70 mln ton 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total 95,2 88,2 84,3 78 76,7 76,4 79,8 77 70,5 Steam coal 80,6 74,6 72,3 69,5 65,1 65 68,1 64,9 58,2 Coking coal 14,6 13,6 12 8,5 11,7 11,4 11,7 12,1 12,2 years Source: Information of functioning of hard coal mining 2006 2014, Ministry of Economy Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 16
Brown coal production in Poland in 2006-2014 - mln ton - Source: Balance of minerals reserves 2014 State Geological Institute, Warszawa Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 17
Draft of energy policy of Poland till 2050 Objectives of energy policy Main objective Main objective of energy policy is creation of conditions of stable and balanced development of energy sector, contributing to development of national economy, provision of energy security of the state and satisfying energy needs of companies and households. o Provision of energy security of the State Operational objectives o Increasing of competitiveness and energy efficiency of national economy o Reduction of impact of power industry on environment Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 18
Draft of energy policy of Poland till 2050 Efficient management of indigenous reserves of solid fuels Priority projects o o o o Poland should achieve energy independence. Indigenous reserves of hard and brown coals will be a stabilizer of energy security of the country. Hard coal should be supplied at competitive prices from national deposits to keep proper level of energy security. As for brown coal it is important to protect strategic reserves in infrastructure planning to secure possibility of their use in the future. The rate and direction of development of clean coal technology will be important for economic effectiveness of energy generation based on coal. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 19
Draft of energy policy of Poland till 2050 Analysis of scenarios o Forecast of demand of Polish economy for hard and brown coals as raw material for power generation till 2050 ( done on order of Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce in 2013 by the Mineral and Energy Economy Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences in cooperation with the Academy of Mining and Metallurgy in Krakow- Faculty of Energy and Fuels and Institute of Energy Studies Ltd Co. In Warsaw) o Forecast of demand for fuels and energy till 2050 (done on order of Ministry of Economy in 2013 by National Agency of Energy Conservation S.A.) Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 20
Draft of energy policy of Poland till 2050 Balanced scenario o o o The scenario preserves considerable, though reduced as against present situation, role of coal and oil and moderate increase in importance of gas. It forecasts increase of the share of renewables in energy balance (as result of obligations resulting from EU regulations), inclusion of nuclear energy to primary fuels balance at the level of 15% assumed now and effects of increase of energy efficiency. Balance scenario also assumes investments in new installed power of conventional energy enabling effective use of the country s solid fuels reserves. Considerable share of coal in the balance of primary energy will require introduction of clean coal technologies. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 21
Clean Coal Technologies Clean Coal Technologies Technologies of clean coal extraction in mines Technologies of coal processing into energy or liquid fuels Technologies of emissions reduction Selective extraction of coals with low sulfur and ash content Steam coal preparation for power generation Production of ecological coal for individual customers / households/ Combustion of coal in supercritical condition Combustion of coal in a fluidized bed. Coal gasification Coal liquefaction Dedusting Desulfurization NOx emission reduction CO 2 emission reduction Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 22
Volume and structure of national demand for primary energy in Poland in 2010-2050 - Mtoe Balanced scenario 120,0 100,0 80,0 Mtoe 60,0 40,0 20,0 0,0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 years hard coal brown coal oil natural gas renewables nuclear energy other Source: Forecast of demand for fuels and energy till 2050, National Agency of Energy Conservation S.A. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 23
Scenarios of CO 2 certificates prices for Polish power generation in 2010-2050 - EUR 10/tCO 2-75 65 Euro 10/tCO 2 14 10 8 5 15 13 10 45 45 40 35 35 30 25 25 20 12 14 16 18 20 22 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Low 14 5 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Middle 14 8 13 20 25 30 35 40 45 High 14 10 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 years 55 Source: Forecast of demand for fuels and energy till 2050, National Agency of Energy Conservation S.A Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 24
Volume and structure of national demand for primary energy in Poland in 2010-2050 - Mtoe scenario of low prices of CO 2 certificates - 120 100 80 Mtoe 60 40 20 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 years hard coal brown coal oil natural gas renewables nuclear Source: Forecast of demand for fuels and energy till 2050 National Agency of Energy Conservation S.A Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 25
Volume and structure of national demand for primary energy in Poland in 2010-2050 - Mtoe scenario of high prices of CO 2 certificates - 120 100 80 Mtoe 60 40 20 Less by 25 Mtoe as compared to scenario of low prices of CO 2 emission certificates 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Years hard coal brown coal oil natural gas renewables nuclear Source: Forecast of demand for fuels and energy till 2050 National Agency of Energy Conservation S.A Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 26
Change of national demand for hard coal and lignite depending on prices of CO 2 emission certificates - Mtoe - Less by 25 Mtoe as compared to scenario of low prices of CO 2 emission certificates Source: Forecast of demand for fuels and energy till 2050, National Agency of Energy Conservation S.A. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 27
Conclusions and recommendations o o o o The results of the research by independent Polish and foreign think tanks show that coal will still remain the significant fuel for the Polish energy sector and the economy. Forecasts and energy policy draft for 2050 foresee a reduction in coal consumption in relation to the current situation, but in the future, indigenous coal should still be a stabilizer of energy security in Poland. There is an urgent need to invest in Polish fuel and energy sector and most of all in projects related to highly efficient coal power plants, coal processing technologies towards its gasification and liquefaction technologies, of CO2 capture The investments are also in Polish mines to become more competitive by improvements in mechanization and automation and coal mining processes. Scenario analysis indicate that the level of coal consumption in Poland will depend mostly on the price of CO2 emission allowances; prices of CO2 emission allowances should be decided by the market and not as a result of administrative decisions. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 28
Conclusions and recommendations /cont./ o Unacceptable are policies of the authorities of the European Union aimed at limitation of the role of indigenous energy resources, because they directly interfere in the internal affairs of member states concerning the possibility of an independent selection of an energy mix. o EU Council decision 787 of 10 December 2010 on state aid to hard coal mining should be changed in relation to the possibility of funding of repair processes, investments connected with the access to resources and the extension of the deadline of liquidation of mines financed from public funds, because this decision does not take into account the current situation of coal sectors of Member States. Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 29
Thank you for the attention Janusz Olszowski Polish Mining Chamber of Industry and Commerce July 2015 30