POLISH ELEVATOR MARKET ONE YEAR AFTER JOINING EU by Marek Oppeln-Bronikowski, 17 of March 2005, Brussels
POLISH ECONOMICAL SITUATION
POLISH ECONOMICAL SITUATION REAL ECONOMY: YEAR GDP CPI year-end Investment (% change) Private Consumption (% change) 2001 1,00% 3,60% -8,80% 2,10% 2002 1,40% 0,80% -5,80% 3,30% 2003 3,80% 1,70% -0,50% 3,10% 2004 5,40% 4,40% 5,10% 3,20%
POLISH ECONOMIC SITUATION LABOUR MARKET: YEAR Population in mln. Unemployment rate Nominal wages 2001 38 242 19,40% 630 EUR 2002 38 219 20,00% 645 EUR 2003 38 191 20,00% 665 EUR 2004 38 180 19,10% 680 EUR
POLISH ECONOMIC SITUATION CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION (2003 data): Polish Construction market in KEuro 21 500 000 Polish construction per capita in Euro 532 Poland vs. EU construction per capita 1 : 4,80
NEW ELEVATOR MARKET
NEW ELEVATOR MARKET ESTIMATED SIZE OF THE MARKET: (official data not available) YEAR SWITCHED ON UNITS* NUMBER OF ELEVATORS ** 2004 1600-2000 85 000 F 2005 1700-2100 87 000 * BIG 4 representing appr. 70% of the market ** BIG 4 representing appr. 20% of the market
MODERNIZATION MARKET
MODERNIZATION MARKET AGING OF ELEVATORS ON POLISH MARKET: age units Less than 15 years 10 000 15 to 35 years 30 000 Over 35 years 45 000 40 000 units manufactured by ZREMB on ASEA license during 1960-1990: - no car door - poor material quality
MODERNIZATION MARKET LOW SAFETY LEVELS DUE TO: Products: - lack of safety elements - high usage - poor quality & corrossion Maintenance: - low price - limited qualifications of fitters ACCIDENTS RATE: - 2,38 accidents rate per year per 10,000 units - 53 injures including 8 fatal in 2001-2003
ECONOMICAL SITUATION OF MODERNIZATION CLIENTS
ECONOMICAL SITUATION OF MODERNIZATION CLIENTS PUBLIC HOUSING COOPERATIVES (appr. 65%): - difficulties in collecting rent from tenants - low qualifications of Management - unwillingness to borrow money PRIVATE OWNERSHIP (appr. 35%): - mostly newly built GENERAL MODERNIZATION MARKET: - limited & expensive credit offerings - lack of national modernization program & support
LIFT REGULATIONS IN POLAND
LIFT REGULATIONS IN POLAND OBLIGATORY STANDARDS (harmonized with lift directive 95/16/EC): - PN-EN 81-1 : 2002 SAFETY RULES ELECTRIC LIFTS - PN-EN 81-2 : 2002 SAFETY RULES HYDRAULIC LIFTS - PN-EN 12016 : 2001 ELECTROMAGNETIC COMPATIBILITY IMMMUNITY - PN-EN 12015 : 2001 ELECTROMAGNETIC COMPATIBILITY EMISSION - PN-EN 13015 : 2003 MAINTENANCE FOR LIFTS AND ESCALATORS
LIFT REGULATIONS IN POLAND NON-OBLIGATORY STANDARDS (harmonized with lift directive 95/16/EC): - PN-EN 81-28 :2003U SAFETY RULES - PART 28, REMOTE ALARM (demanded by local notified body) - PN-EN 81-58 : 2004U SAFETY RULES - PART 58, FIRE RESISTANCE TESTING of LIFT LANDING DOORS (demanded by Polish Fire Authorities) - PN-EN 81-72 : 2004U SAFETY RULES - PART 72, FIREFIGHTERS LIFTS (local law defining the criteria)
LIFT REGULATIONS IN POLAND SELECTED STANDARDS UNDER DISCUSSION: - pr-en 81-80 SAFETY RULES - PART 80, EXISTING LIFTS - pr-en 81-70 SAFETY RULES - PART 70, ACCESSIBILITY TO LIFTS INCLUDING DISABLED (local law defining the criteria)
LOBBYING
LOBBYING NATIONAL ELEVATOR FORUM Work Group Members: - Polish Lift Association - Warsaw Lift Association - UDT Notified Body - Ministry of Labour - Standarization Institute - Fire Department - Ministry of Infrustructure - Housing Cooperative
LOBBYING NATIONAL ELEVATOR FORUM Topics currently discussed: - LOCAL REGULATION REGARDING SNEL IMPLEMENTATION (scope & timing) - MAINTENANCE CERTIFICATE for fitters - CHANGE of FIRE REGULATIONS for clasification purposes - CHANGE of REGULATION DEMANDING TWO FITTERS on site